League One · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 19:00
11.4564.6%
X4.3821.4%
26.6914.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
LDLDDLWDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Swindon
DWLLLWDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.00
Against
4.20
9.70
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.40goals per matchSwindon conceded2.10Matchup
Swindon attack
1.50goals per matchSunderland conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.20
9.70
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.10
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.60
Match total
26.80
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%63.4%-1.2 pp
Draw21.4%22.0%+0.6 pp
Away14.0%14.6%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS41.5%
Historical average
1.90–0.66
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.6%
2-012.2%
2-19.8%
1-19.8%
0-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.17–3.56
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away28.6%