League One · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 19:00
12.6934.8%
X3.3028.4%
22.5536.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
DLWLLWDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Plymouth
LLLLDWWDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
10%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.10
Against
7.60
7.40
Total
13.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
1.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
0.40goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.60Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.10goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.60
7.40
Match total
13.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
28.00
Match total
22.20
Shots
8.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
2.40
On target
3.70
5%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches253
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%27.7%-7.2 pp
Draw28.4%28.9%+0.5 pp
Away36.8%43.5%+6.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.06–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
0-113.4%
1-29.1%
1-08.7%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.94
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=253.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%15.8%–33.6% CI
Draw FT34.1%24.9%–44.7% CI
Away FT42.4%32.4%–53.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.2%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.7%
Away64.7%