League One · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 19:00
12.3040.8%
X3.3927.7%
22.9831.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burton
LLWDLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Bristol Rvs
LDWLLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
2.40
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.20
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
2.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burton attack
1.30goals per matchBristol Rvs conceded1.80Matchup
Bristol Rvs attack
0.70goals per matchBurton conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
25.90
Match total
24.00
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
3.20
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%36.1%-4.7 pp
Draw27.7%32.3%+4.6 pp
Away31.5%31.6%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS59.5%
Historical average
1.33–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.7%
1-210.8%
2-110.8%
2-08.9%
2-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.78
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.533.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.4%13.8%–39.3% CI
Draw FT43.9%29.9%–59.0% CI
Away FT31.7%19.6%–47.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.8%
Away51.2%