League One · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
12.4238.8%
X3.3028.4%
22.8632.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swindon
WLLDLLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Northampton
WDLLLDLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.40
Against
6.50
11.60
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swindon attack
0.80goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.60Matchup
Northampton attack
0.90goals per matchSwindon conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.50
11.60
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
22.80
Match total
26.10
Shots
8.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
2.40
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%40.5%+1.7 pp
Draw28.4%29.8%+1.3 pp
Away32.8%29.8%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.34–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
1-010.7%
2-110.2%
0-110.2%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.89
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.4%16.5%–36.9% CI
Draw FT43.3%32.1%–55.2% CI
Away FT31.3%21.5%–43.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals13.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.8%
Away58.2%