League One · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
12.4238.8%
X3.3028.4%
22.8632.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
WLLDLLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Northampton
WDLLLDLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
0.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.40
Against
6.50
11.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

0.80goals per match
Northampton conceded1.60
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.90goals per match
Swindon conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.50
11.60
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
2.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
22.80
Match total
26.10

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
2.40
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches205
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%40.5%+1.7 pp
Draw28.4%29.8%+1.3 pp
Away32.8%29.8%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.341.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-010.7%
2-110.2%
0-110.2%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.89
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=205.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.4%16.5%–36.9% CI
Draw FT43.3%32.1%–55.2% CI
Away FT31.3%21.5%–43.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away58.2%