League One · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
12.7833.7%
X3.4627.1%
22.3939.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rochdale
LDLLDDLLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Burton
DDLDDLLWWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
2.40
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Against
5.60
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
2.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Rochdale attack

1.20goals per match
Burton conceded1.50
Matchup

Burton attack

1.20goals per match
Rochdale conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.60
10.10
Match total
8.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.60
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.80
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%31.4%-2.3 pp
Draw27.1%28.6%+1.5 pp
Away39.2%40.0%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.131.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-014.3%
1-210.0%
0-18.6%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.975.09
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals3.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away46.2%