League One · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
12.7034.7%
X3.3428.1%
22.5237.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milton Keynes Dons
DLDDDWWLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Oxford
LWDDWWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
3.40
8.80
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.70goals per matchOxford conceded1.30Matchup
Oxford attack
1.90goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.40
8.80
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.20
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
24.60
Match total
27.70
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.40
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches204
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%34.3%-0.4 pp
Draw28.1%27.0%-1.1 pp
Away37.2%38.7%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.25–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-011.8%
2-110.3%
0-19.3%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–5.15
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=204.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.535.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%25.5%–49.8% CI
Draw FT29.8%19.5%–42.7% CI
Away FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away56.1%