League One · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 19:00
11.5361.3%
X3.9223.9%
26.3814.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lincoln
WLWLLWDWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Swindon
LDWLLLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.00
10.60
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.90
Total goals
3.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.40goals per match
Swindon conceded2.30
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.50goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.00
10.60
Match total
7.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
26.40
Match total
26.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.10
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.3%64.0%+2.7 pp
Draw23.9%26.7%+2.7 pp
Away14.7%9.3%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.960.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
2-113.3%
1-013.3%
2-08.0%
3-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.633.92
Average total10.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.552.0%
Over 11.548.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.2%35.1%–72.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.8%
Away37.5%