League One · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 19:00
12.3440.1%
X3.4627.1%
22.8632.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crewe
LLWWWWDWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Accrington
WWDLWWLDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.30
Against
6.80
10.10
Total
13.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.60goals per match
Accrington conceded1.30
Matchup

Accrington attack

1.80goals per match
Crewe conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.80
10.10
Match total
13.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.40
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.10
Match total
25.00

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.80
On target
5.00
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%39.2%-0.9 pp
Draw27.1%28.4%+1.3 pp
Away32.8%32.4%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS60.8%

Historical average

1.451.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-211.5%
2-111.5%
2-08.1%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.594.85
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.7%19.6%–47.0% CI
Draw FT39.0%25.7%–54.3% CI
Away FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals56.1%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.5%
Away56.1%