League One · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 19:00
12.3440.1%
X3.4627.1%
22.8632.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crewe
LLWWWWDWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Accrington
WWDLWWLDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.30
Against
6.80
10.10
Total
13.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crewe attack
1.60goals per matchAccrington conceded1.30Matchup
Accrington attack
1.80goals per matchCrewe conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.80
10.10
Match total
13.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.40
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.10
Match total
25.00
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.80
On target
5.00
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%39.2%-0.9 pp
Draw27.1%28.4%+1.3 pp
Away32.8%32.4%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS60.8%
Historical average
1.45–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-211.5%
2-111.5%
2-08.1%
2-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.59–4.85
Average total10.45
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.537.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.7%19.6%–47.0% CI
Draw FT39.0%25.7%–54.3% CI
Away FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.66
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals56.1%
3+ goals22.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.5%
Away56.1%