League One · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 19:00
11.8650.4%
X3.4427.3%
24.2122.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Charlton
WWLWDLDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Burton
DDDLDDLLWW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
2.10
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.50
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.20
Against
5.70
10.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
2.10
Goals conceded
1.50
4.20
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Charlton attack

2.10goals per match
Burton conceded1.50
Matchup

Burton attack

1.10goals per match
Charlton conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
1.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.70
10.40
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
29.00
Match total
23.60

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.50
On target
2.60
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%54.2%+3.8 pp
Draw27.3%19.5%-7.8 pp
Away22.3%26.3%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.661.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
1-110.2%
2-110.2%
1-28.5%
3-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.984.34
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Draw FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Away FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away44.4%