League One · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 18:30
12.6934.9%
X3.3328.2%
22.5436.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AFC Wimbledon
LLWDWLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Gillingham
LWWLWLLWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.50
1.90
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.80
Against
6.90
8.80
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AFC Wimbledon attack
1.00goals per matchGillingham conceded1.20Matchup
Gillingham attack
1.50goals per matchAFC Wimbledon conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.90
8.80
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.40
Match total
2.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
21.40
Match total
26.80
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches219
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%32.4%-2.5 pp
Draw28.2%27.4%-0.8 pp
Away36.9%40.2%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.22–1.44
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
1-011.4%
0-19.6%
2-19.1%
1-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.26–4.93
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=219.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.6%–45.0% CI
Draw FT32.8%22.6%–45.0% CI
Away FT34.4%23.9%–46.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.4%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals17.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.7%
Away60.9%