League One · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 15:00
13.5926.1%
X3.4227.4%
22.0246.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LWLLDLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Crewe
WLLDWDDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.70N=10
6.00
Against
4.50
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

0.60goals per match
Crewe conceded1.70
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.20goals per match
Swindon conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.50
11.20
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.90
Match total
26.90

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.20
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.1%30.6%+4.5 pp
Draw27.4%24.2%-3.2 pp
Away46.4%45.2%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.241.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.9%
1-211.3%
0-09.7%
0-19.7%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.445.44
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away46.7%