League One · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 15:00
13.5926.1%
X3.4227.4%
22.0246.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swindon
LWLLDLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Crewe
WLLDWDDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.70N=10
6.00
Against
4.50
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swindon attack
0.60goals per matchCrewe conceded1.70Matchup
Crewe attack
1.20goals per matchSwindon conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.50
11.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.90
Match total
26.90
Shots
8.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.20
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.1%30.6%+4.5 pp
Draw27.4%24.2%-3.2 pp
Away46.4%45.2%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
1.24–1.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.9%
1-211.3%
0-09.7%
0-19.7%
2-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.44–5.44
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals26.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home26.7%
Away46.7%