League One · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 15:00
12.4837.7%
X3.2828.5%
22.7733.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
WLDLWLLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Burton
LDDDLDDLLW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Against
6.40
8.30
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
0.60goals per matchBurton conceded1.70Matchup
Burton attack
0.90goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.40
8.30
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.10
Match total
23.20
Shots
8.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
2.20
On target
2.50
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches188
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%35.6%-2.1 pp
Draw28.5%26.6%-1.9 pp
Away33.8%37.8%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS51.6%
Historical average
1.23–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-011.2%
0-110.6%
1-28.5%
2-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.53
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=188.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%25.1%–49.1% CI
Draw FT32.8%22.1%–45.6% CI
Away FT31.0%20.6%–43.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.1%
Away50.0%