League One · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 15:00
12.4837.7%
X3.2828.5%
22.7733.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WLDLWLLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Burton
LDDDLDDLLW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Against
6.40
8.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.60goals per match
Burton conceded1.70
Matchup

Burton attack

0.90goals per match
Northampton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.40
8.30
Match total
9.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.10
Match total
23.20

Shots

8.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
2.20
On target
2.50
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches188
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%35.6%-2.1 pp
Draw28.5%26.6%-1.9 pp
Away33.8%37.8%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.231.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-011.2%
0-110.6%
1-28.5%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.53
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=188.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%25.1%–49.1% CI
Draw FT32.8%22.1%–45.6% CI
Away FT31.0%20.6%–43.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.1%
Away50.0%