League One · 2020/21
2021-02-09 · 19:00
11.4564.8%
X4.5020.9%
26.5914.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portsmouth
WLWDWDWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Swindon
LLDWLLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.90
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
3.50
11.00
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.80
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

1.70goals per match
Swindon conceded2.30
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.60goals per match
Portsmouth conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.50
11.00
Match total
7.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
28.20
Match total
27.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%76.1%+11.2 pp
Draw20.9%17.4%-3.5 pp
Away14.3%6.5%-7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.980.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.7%
2-015.2%
1-015.2%
3-08.7%
1-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.803.20
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away37.5%