League One · 2019/20
2020-03-10 · 19:45
11.5261.9%
X4.1422.7%
26.1115.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
DLWWWWDDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Bolton
LLDLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.40goals per match
Bolton conceded2.20
Matchup

Bolton attack

0.50goals per match
Burton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
22.90
Match total
23.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.40
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.9%68.3%+6.4 pp
Draw22.7%14.6%-8.1 pp
Away15.4%17.1%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS41.5%

Historical average

1.880.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.6%
3-012.2%
2-012.2%
2-17.3%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.633.73
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.541.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away25.0%