League One · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
13.2928.5%
X3.2129.2%
22.2242.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Shrewsbury
WWLWLDDLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Oxford
WDWLWLDLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Shrewsbury attack

1.30goals per match
Oxford conceded1.20
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.30goals per match
Shrewsbury conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
12.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.20
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.10
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%25.6%-2.9 pp
Draw29.2%34.9%+5.7 pp
Away42.3%39.5%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS37.2%

Historical average

0.931.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.3%
0-114.0%
1-111.6%
1-09.3%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.63
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

0.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal53.3%
2+ goals26.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away33.3%