League One · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
12.4638.1%
X3.2828.6%
22.8133.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lincoln
DWWWWWLLDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Burton
DLWLLWDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.10
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.00
Against
5.50
8.30
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
3.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.50goals per match
Burton conceded2.20
Matchup

Burton attack

1.60goals per match
Lincoln conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.50
8.30
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
26.70
Match total
23.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%37.3%-0.8 pp
Draw28.6%26.7%-1.9 pp
Away33.3%36.0%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.171.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.0%
1-113.3%
1-09.3%
2-09.3%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.854.67
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.7%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.550.7%
Over 11.541.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away52.0%