League One · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
11.5460.9%
X3.9223.9%
26.1515.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gillingham
LLWWWWDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
AFC Wimbledon
WLLDLWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.80
Against
6.00
10.10
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gillingham attack
1.30goals per matchAFC Wimbledon conceded1.90Matchup
AFC Wimbledon attack
1.20goals per matchGillingham conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.00
10.10
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
28.90
Match total
26.80
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.9%67.7%+6.9 pp
Draw23.9%22.6%-1.3 pp
Away15.2%9.7%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.74–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-022.6%
2-119.4%
1-19.7%
0-16.5%
2-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.23–3.81
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away25.0%