League One · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.8133.4%
X3.3128.4%
22.4638.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burton
DDLWWWWDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Peterboro
LLDDLLLWWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.90
Against
5.10
11.90
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burton attack
1.30goals per matchPeterboro conceded1.70Matchup
Peterboro attack
1.30goals per matchBurton conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.10
11.90
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.80
Match total
28.00
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.50
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%40.7%+7.3 pp
Draw28.4%22.2%-6.2 pp
Away38.2%37.0%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS63.0%
Historical average
1.39–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.0%
1-113.0%
2-113.0%
1-211.1%
3-111.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–5.24
Average total10.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.546.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Draw FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Away FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.4%
Away68.4%