League One · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
14.2222.3%
X3.9124.0%
21.7553.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southend
LLLLDDDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Burton
LDLWLLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
2.60
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.10
2.30
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.90
Against
5.30
10.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
2.60
Goals conceded
2.40
3.50
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Southend attack

0.90goals per match
Burton conceded2.40
Matchup

Burton attack

1.40goals per match
Southend conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.30
10.70
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.80
Match total
23.80

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.40
On target
4.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.3%19.2%-3.0 pp
Draw24.0%19.2%-4.8 pp
Away53.7%61.5%+7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.042.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.5%
1-211.5%
0-411.5%
2-37.7%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.77
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away53.3%