League One · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
12.6934.9%
X3.1529.8%
22.6535.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lincoln
WDWWWWWLLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Gillingham
DWLDDDDDWW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.50
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
7.60N=10
5.00
Against
3.90
8.10
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lincoln attack
1.70goals per matchGillingham conceded0.70Matchup
Gillingham attack
0.90goals per matchLincoln conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
7.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.90
8.10
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
27.00
Match total
29.90
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.9%25.2%-9.6 pp
Draw29.8%36.0%+6.3 pp
Away35.4%38.7%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
1.13–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.1%
1-115.3%
2-211.7%
2-19.9%
0-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.93–4.56
Average total9.49
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.523.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%12.4%–40.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT47.1%31.5%–63.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals20.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.2%
Away67.6%