League One · 2019/20
2020-02-18 · 19:45
16.3514.8%
X4.0123.4%
21.5261.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southend
LLLLLDDDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Gillingham
DDWLDDDDDW
2W 7D 1L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
2.60
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.50
2.30
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
7.30N=10
5.80
Against
4.70
10.70
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
2.60
Goals conceded
0.70
3.50
Total goals
1.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Southend attack

0.90goals per match
Gillingham conceded0.70
Matchup

Gillingham attack

0.80goals per match
Southend conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.70
10.70
Match total
12.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
24.00
Match total
30.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.10
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.8%5.6%-9.2 pp
Draw23.4%5.6%-17.9 pp
Away61.8%88.9%+27.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS72.2%

Historical average

0.832.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-244.4%
0-122.2%
2-15.6%
1-75.6%
0-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.394.83
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.522.2%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home17.6%
Away70.6%