League One · 2019/20
2020-02-11 · 19:45
12.3040.8%
X3.2029.3%
23.1429.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lincoln
LWDWWWWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
LLLLDLDDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.70
2.10
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.50
Against
6.50
7.90
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lincoln attack
1.60goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.40Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
0.60goals per matchLincoln conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.50
7.90
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
27.00
Match total
23.70
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.50
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%44.3%+3.5 pp
Draw29.3%30.7%+1.4 pp
Away29.9%25.0%-4.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS52.3%
Historical average
1.40–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
0-011.4%
0-111.4%
1-010.2%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–4.93
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.533.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI
Draw FT45.2%29.2%–62.2% CI
Away FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals12.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.9%
Away45.2%