League One · 2019/20
2020-02-11 · 19:45
12.6136.0%
X3.0730.6%
22.8133.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WDDLWWWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Oxford
WDWDWLWLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.00
11.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.20goals per match
Oxford conceded1.20
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.80goals per match
Burton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.00
11.70
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
24.70
Match total
27.90

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.90
On target
5.10
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%22.1%-13.9 pp
Draw30.6%43.0%+12.4 pp
Away33.4%34.9%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.021.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.1%
0-014.0%
0-19.3%
1-28.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.45
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.1%8.1%–32.7% CI
Draw FT54.3%38.2%–69.5% CI
Away FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away51.4%