League One · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 15:00
12.2741.4%
X3.2229.2%
23.1929.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burton
DWDDLWWWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Gillingham
DLDDWLDDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
0.70
50%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
11.80
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burton attack
1.20goals per matchGillingham conceded0.90Matchup
Gillingham attack
0.60goals per matchBurton conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
11.80
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
23.70
Match total
28.50
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%37.6%-3.8 pp
Draw29.2%34.2%+5.0 pp
Away29.4%28.2%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS57.3%
Historical average
1.38–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.7%
2-012.8%
0-09.4%
2-17.7%
1-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–4.82
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.535.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI
Draw FT51.2%36.5%–65.7% CI
Away FT19.5%10.2%–34.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals48.8%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.1%
Away46.3%