League One · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 19:45
11.9149.4%
X3.4627.2%
24.0323.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milton Keynes Dons
LLLDLLWWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Rochdale
LLWLLWLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Against
7.10
11.80
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.00goals per matchRochdale conceded1.80Matchup
Rochdale attack
1.20goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.10
11.80
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
27.30
Match total
21.40
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%44.6%-4.8 pp
Draw27.2%25.7%-1.6 pp
Away23.4%29.7%+6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.35–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
1-013.5%
0-113.5%
2-19.5%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.99–4.53
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.579.7%
Over 9.562.2%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.0%
Away60.0%