League One · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 19:45
12.6635.3%
X3.1829.5%
22.6735.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lincoln
WLLWDWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Portsmouth
DLWLDWLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
6.50
9.60
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lincoln attack
1.80goals per matchPortsmouth conceded1.40Matchup
Portsmouth attack
1.20goals per matchLincoln conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.50
9.60
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
26.10
Match total
25.50
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.70
On target
4.80
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%27.7%-7.6 pp
Draw29.5%36.6%+7.1 pp
Away35.2%35.6%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
1.20–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.8%
0-114.9%
2-19.9%
1-27.9%
2-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–4.71
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.9%9.5%–34.2% CI
Draw FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals24.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.9%
Away70.3%