League One · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 19:45
11.4564.8%
X4.3321.7%
26.9913.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Doncaster
WLWDDDLWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Southend
WLDLLDLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.30
Against
6.60
11.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Doncaster attack

1.30goals per match
Southend conceded1.90
Matchup

Southend attack

1.20goals per match
Doncaster conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.60
11.30
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.20
Match total
3.20
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%94.4%+29.6 pp
Draw21.7%5.6%-16.2 pp
Away13.4%0.0%-13.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS38.9%

Historical average

3.060.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-022.2%
2-122.2%
2-016.7%
7-05.6%
7-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.833.06
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away25.0%