League One · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 15:00
11.9847.5%
X3.3428.2%
23.8824.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WDWDDLWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Accrington
DWLLDLDDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.70
Against
4.20
12.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.30goals per match
Accrington conceded1.40
Matchup

Accrington attack

0.70goals per match
Burton conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.20
12.60
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.90
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%39.4%-8.2 pp
Draw28.2%30.3%+2.1 pp
Away24.3%30.3%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.451.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.2%
1-112.1%
2-112.1%
1-012.1%
2-212.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.484.97
Average total11.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.590.9%
Over 9.578.8%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away61.1%