League One · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
11.5062.7%
X4.3721.5%
25.9615.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Accrington
WLDDWLWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Southend
LWLDLLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.10
Against
6.40
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
3.40
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Accrington attack

2.20goals per match
Southend conceded2.20
Matchup

Southend attack

1.30goals per match
Accrington conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.40
10.20
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
29.00
Match total
24.10

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.50
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.7%65.5%+2.8 pp
Draw21.5%20.7%-0.8 pp
Away15.8%13.8%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

2.410.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
4-110.3%
3-010.3%
0-16.9%
2-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.693.34
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away41.7%