League One · 2019/20
2020-01-14 · 19:45
11.5162.0%
X4.0523.1%
26.3214.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lincoln
WWWLLWDWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Bolton
LLLLLWLLDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.40
1.10
Conceded
2.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.90
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.10
Goals conceded
2.90
2.90
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.80goals per match
Bolton conceded2.90
Matchup

Bolton attack

0.40goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.90
Match total
26.50

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.70
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.0%66.7%+4.6 pp
Draw23.1%12.5%-10.6 pp
Away14.8%20.8%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

1.790.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-025.0%
0-116.7%
4-08.3%
1-18.3%
3-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.923.75
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.545.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals15.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away46.2%