League One · 2019/20
2020-01-14 · 19:45
11.6856.0%
X3.7125.4%
25.0418.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
LWDWDDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
WLLLLLDLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.80
Against
7.50
13.10
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.20goals per match
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.40
Matchup

Milton Keynes Dons attack

0.90goals per match
Burton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.50
13.10
Match total
12.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.80
Match total
24.50

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%59.0%+3.0 pp
Draw25.4%20.5%-4.8 pp
Away18.7%20.5%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.870.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.8%
2-112.8%
2-010.3%
1-110.3%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.364.41
Average total10.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.564.1%
Over 10.551.3%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%