League One · 2019/20
2020-01-14 · 19:45
11.6856.0%
X3.7125.4%
25.0418.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burton
LWDWDDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
WLLLLLDLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.80
Against
7.50
13.10
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burton attack
1.20goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.40Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
0.90goals per matchBurton conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.50
13.10
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.80
Match total
24.50
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%59.0%+3.0 pp
Draw25.4%20.5%-4.8 pp
Away18.7%20.5%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
1.87–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.8%
2-112.8%
2-010.3%
1-110.3%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.36–4.41
Average total10.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.564.1%
Over 10.551.3%
Over 11.535.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away36.4%