Championship · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 12:30
11.7553.5%
X3.8024.6%
24.2821.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WDWWWDWLDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Charlton
LDLWDDWDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.20
Against
7.40
11.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.60goals per match
Charlton conceded1.30
Matchup

Charlton attack

1.10goals per match
Swansea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.40
11.10
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
22.00
Match total
24.30

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.40
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%51.7%-1.8 pp
Draw24.6%25.8%+1.2 pp
Away21.9%22.5%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS63.3%

Historical average

1.851.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-111.7%
1-111.7%
1-08.3%
2-17.5%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.074.43
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Draw FT53.6%35.8%–70.5% CI
Away FT14.3%5.7%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away42.9%