Championship · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 12:30
13.1329.9%
X3.8224.5%
22.0545.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
WLLWDLLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DLDWWWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
7.60
Against
4.80
13.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Preston attack

1.10goals per match
Southampton conceded1.40
Matchup

Southampton attack

2.10goals per match
Preston conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
7.60
Corners against
4.80
13.00
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
19.70
Match total
22.20

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.20
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%30.4%+0.5 pp
Draw24.5%20.0%-4.5 pp
Away45.6%49.6%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS64.4%

Historical average

1.511.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-18.1%
1-28.1%
1-38.1%
1-17.4%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.915.59
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.551.1%
Over 11.539.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.2%8.5%–37.9% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.3%
Away65.4%