Championship · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 12:30
11.3469.9%
X5.0118.7%
28.1811.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WWWDLWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Oxford
LWLDDLWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.50
Against
8.60
11.60
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.80goals per match
Oxford conceded1.40
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.00goals per match
Millwall conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
8.60
11.60
Match total
12.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.70
Match total
4.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
19.80
Match total
21.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.40
On target
2.00
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.9%73.7%+3.8 pp
Draw18.7%16.5%-2.2 pp
Away11.4%9.8%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

2.240.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.7%
1-013.4%
2-112.5%
1-17.6%
3-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.23
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.7%47.3%–71.0% CI
Draw FT29.0%19.2%–41.3% CI
Away FT11.3%5.6%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.0%
Away24.2%