Championship · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 12:30
11.8151.7%
X3.8024.6%
23.9423.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WLDLWWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sheffield United
WLLDWWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.90
Against
7.10
9.10
Total
11.70
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.50goals per matchSheffield United conceded0.80Matchup
Sheffield United attack
1.00goals per matchDerby conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.10
9.10
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
24.50
Match total
19.50
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.70
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches246
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%48.8%-2.9 pp
Draw24.6%26.4%+1.8 pp
Away23.7%24.8%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS64.6%
Historical average
1.79–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
2-19.8%
2-07.7%
1-27.3%
3-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–4.16
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=246.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.3%–45.3% CI
Draw FT39.3%28.1%–51.9% CI
Away FT27.9%18.2%–40.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals57.4%
3+ goals26.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.9%
Away59.0%