Championship · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 12:30
11.9448.2%
X3.7624.9%
23.4826.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bristol City
WLWLDLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Stoke
WWDDLLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.90
Against
5.70
8.30
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.30goals per match
Stoke conceded1.30
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.60goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.70
8.30
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.70
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
19.40
Match total
18.50

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.10
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches348
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%50.0%+1.8 pp
Draw24.9%26.1%+1.3 pp
Away26.9%23.9%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.721.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
2-19.8%
1-09.5%
2-08.9%
1-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.34
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=348.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.5%39.1%–58.1% CI
Draw FT34.0%25.6%–43.6% CI
Away FT17.5%11.3%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.5%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.9%
Away44.7%