Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-28 · 19:45
12.1842.9%
X3.5026.7%
23.0830.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LWWDWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ipswich
LWLWDWWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.30
10.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.90goals per match
Ipswich conceded1.50
Matchup

Ipswich attack

1.70goals per match
Southampton conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.30
10.40
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.60
Match total
5.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
20.60
Match total
25.50

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.80
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches630
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%42.2%-0.7 pp
Draw26.7%28.3%+1.5 pp
Away30.4%29.5%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS56.2%

Historical average

1.571.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.4%
1-09.7%
2-27.9%
0-17.6%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.69
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=629.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches174
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.4%30.5%–44.7% CI
Draw FT37.4%30.5%–44.7% CI
Away FT25.3%19.4%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals20.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.9%
Away44.3%