Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
12.9232.0%
X3.4926.7%
22.2641.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
WLWLLLWWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Derby
WWWLLLWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

QPR attack

1.70goals per match
Derby conceded1.50
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
QPR conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
22.30
Match total
24.30

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.00
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches553
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%29.3%-2.7 pp
Draw26.7%28.9%+2.2 pp
Away41.3%41.8%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.221.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-29.2%
0-18.5%
0-28.0%
1-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.745.17
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=552.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT22.9%17.2%–29.9% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.1%–46.7% CI
Away FT38.0%30.9%–45.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away54.8%