Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.4365.4%
X4.4421.1%
26.9313.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oxford
DDLLWWDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sheffield Weds
LLLLLLLLDL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
0.50
2H goals
0.80
40%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.00
Against
6.30
9.80
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
1.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oxford attack
0.70goals per matchSheffield Weds conceded1.90Matchup
Sheffield Weds attack
0.30goals per matchOxford conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.30
9.80
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
22.30
Match total
23.30
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
6.40N=10
3.50
On target
1.30
6%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.4%71.1%+5.7 pp
Draw21.1%17.8%-3.3 pp
Away13.5%11.1%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS42.2%
Historical average
2.13–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.8%
1-012.6%
1-111.9%
3-011.1%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.30–3.51
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%45.9%–75.1% CI
Draw FT23.1%12.6%–38.3% CI
Away FT15.4%7.2%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals56.4%
3+ goals20.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away35.9%