Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.7055.1%
X3.8024.7%
24.6420.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
WDWDLWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bristol City
DLWLWLDWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.70
10.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.30goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.20
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.00goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.70
10.50
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.20
Match total
23.90

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.80
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches773
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%59.0%+3.9 pp
Draw24.7%23.2%-1.5 pp
Away20.2%17.9%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.810.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
1-011.4%
1-110.3%
2-09.4%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.91
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=773.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.8%40.4%–53.4% CI
Draw FT36.0%30.0%–42.5% CI
Away FT17.1%12.7%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.6%
Away37.8%