Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 12:30
11.4265.7%
X4.7019.8%
26.4514.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
WWWDDLDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Watford
DDLDWDLLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
13.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.30goals per match
Watford conceded1.60
Matchup

Watford attack

0.80goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
13.70
Match total
11.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.50
Match total
21.30

Shots

21.10N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
6.00
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches302
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%67.2%+1.5 pp
Draw19.8%21.9%+2.0 pp
Away14.5%10.9%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

2.290.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
0-09.6%
1-08.3%
3-17.6%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.963.43
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=302.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.1%35.3%–57.2% CI
Draw FT46.1%35.3%–57.2% CI
Away FT7.9%3.7%–16.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.8%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away27.6%