Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 19:45
11.6556.7%
X3.7924.7%
25.0418.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
DWDWDLWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Preston
LWLDLDLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Against
6.20
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.20goals per match
Preston conceded1.70
Matchup

Preston attack

0.90goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.20
10.60
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.70
Match total
20.80

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches741
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%58.4%+1.7 pp
Draw24.7%24.3%-0.4 pp
Away18.6%17.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.740.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
2-112.4%
1-110.8%
2-09.4%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.063.84
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=741.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches233
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.1%41.7%–54.5% CI
Draw FT35.2%29.3%–41.5% CI
Away FT16.7%12.5%–22.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.5%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.7%
Away38.2%