Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
13.7025.4%
X3.6725.6%
21.9249.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stoke
LDLLDWDWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Millwall
DWLWWWWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.50
Against
6.20
10.30
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.60
2.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stoke attack
1.50goals per matchMillwall conceded0.60Matchup
Millwall attack
1.50goals per matchStoke conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.20
10.30
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
20.50
Match total
21.50
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.4%24.8%-0.7 pp
Draw25.6%22.2%-3.4 pp
Away49.0%53.1%+4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
1.15–1.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.5%
1-19.6%
0-28.7%
0-17.1%
1-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.28–5.51
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%14.2%–30.6% CI
Draw FT34.0%25.3%–44.1% CI
Away FT44.7%35.0%–54.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.0%
2+ goals61.7%
3+ goals27.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.2%
Away66.0%