Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
13.7025.4%
X3.6725.6%
21.9249.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LDLLDWDWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Millwall
DWLWWWWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.50
Against
6.20
10.30
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.60
2.90
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.50goals per match
Millwall conceded0.60
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.50goals per match
Stoke conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.20
10.30
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
20.50
Match total
21.50

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.4%24.8%-0.7 pp
Draw25.6%22.2%-3.4 pp
Away49.0%53.1%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.151.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.5%
1-19.6%
0-28.7%
0-17.1%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.285.51
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%14.2%–30.6% CI
Draw FT34.0%25.3%–44.1% CI
Away FT44.7%35.0%–54.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.0%
2+ goals61.7%
3+ goals27.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away66.0%