Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
11.4067.1%
X4.6720.1%
27.3112.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DLWWDWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bristol City
LDLWLWLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
10.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.20
Matchup

Bristol City attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
10.60
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Match total
5.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.90
Match total
23.80

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.1%73.3%+6.3 pp
Draw20.1%17.4%-2.7 pp
Away12.8%9.3%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

2.220.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.8%
1-012.9%
2-112.2%
3-07.7%
1-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.523.38
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.8%49.7%–70.8% CI
Draw FT27.8%19.2%–38.6% CI
Away FT11.4%6.1%–20.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.5%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.7%
Away29.1%