Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
11.4067.1%
X4.6720.1%
27.3112.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
DLWWDWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bristol City
LDLWLWLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
0.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
10.60
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
1.70goals per matchBristol City conceded1.20Matchup
Bristol City attack
0.90goals per matchSouthampton conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
10.60
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.90
Match total
23.80
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.1%73.3%+6.3 pp
Draw20.1%17.4%-2.7 pp
Away12.8%9.3%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS47.9%
Historical average
2.22–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-013.8%
1-012.9%
2-112.2%
3-07.7%
1-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.52–3.38
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.8%49.7%–70.8% CI
Draw FT27.8%19.2%–38.6% CI
Away FT11.4%6.1%–20.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.5%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.7%
Away29.1%