Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
12.2641.6%
X3.3727.9%
23.0930.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
LWLWLLLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Swansea
WLLWLLWLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
9.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

QPR attack

1.70goals per match
Swansea conceded1.50
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
QPR conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
9.20
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.50
Match total
23.50

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,273
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%42.5%+0.9 pp
Draw27.9%28.4%+0.4 pp
Away30.4%29.1%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.441.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-010.7%
2-19.6%
0-18.4%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.53
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,273.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches410
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.2%28.8%–37.9% CI
Draw FT41.0%36.3%–45.8% CI
Away FT25.9%21.9%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away45.9%