Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
12.0047.0%
X3.5426.6%
23.5626.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Norwich
LLWWLWWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Derby
LWWWLLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
10.30
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Norwich attack

1.20goals per match
Derby conceded1.50
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
Norwich conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
10.30
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.20
Match total
23.90

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches706
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%46.0%-1.0 pp
Draw26.6%27.5%+0.9 pp
Away26.4%26.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.601.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-110.2%
1-09.6%
1-28.5%
0-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.37
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=706.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.6%28.5%–41.3% CI
Draw FT41.8%35.3%–48.6% CI
Away FT23.6%18.3%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away51.0%