Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:00
11.7354.2%
X3.7525.0%
24.5120.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wrexham
WWLDLWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Stoke
LWWDDLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
20%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.60
2.10
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.40
Against
6.20
9.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
1.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Wrexham attack

2.00goals per match
Stoke conceded1.20
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.60goals per match
Wrexham conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.20
9.30
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
20.00
Match total
19.10

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.60
On target
2.20
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches770
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.2%59.0%+4.8 pp
Draw25.0%24.4%-0.6 pp
Away20.8%16.6%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.840.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
1-011.3%
1-111.2%
2-08.7%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.113.93
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=770.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches209
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.5%37.9%–51.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%34.2%–47.4% CI
Away FT14.8%10.7%–20.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.4%
Away36.4%