Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:00
13.8224.6%
X3.8724.3%
21.8451.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WWDWWWDWLD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Southampton
LDLDWWWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.70
Against
4.90
10.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.70goals per match
Southampton conceded1.50
Matchup

Southampton attack

2.00goals per match
Swansea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.90
10.70
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
22.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.60
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches216
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.6%22.2%-2.4 pp
Draw24.3%22.2%-2.1 pp
Away51.1%55.6%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.121.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
1-111.1%
0-110.2%
0-28.8%
2-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.65
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=216.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.1%6.3%–22.1% CI
Draw FT30.3%20.6%–42.2% CI
Away FT57.6%45.6%–68.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.9%
2+ goals56.1%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.4%
Away77.3%