Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 12:30
11.8949.6%
X3.4627.1%
24.0323.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DWLDLWWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Oxford
LLWLDDLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.00
Against
8.40
9.10
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
Oxford conceded1.40
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
8.40
9.10
Match total
12.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.00
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.90
Match total
20.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.10
On target
2.10
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,088
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%48.8%-0.8 pp
Draw27.1%28.1%+1.0 pp
Away23.3%23.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.490.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-012.6%
2-110.3%
0-09.2%
2-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.834.06
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,088.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches371
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.4%31.7%–41.4% CI
Draw FT38.8%34.0%–43.9% CI
Away FT24.8%20.7%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away42.3%