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Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00

Southampton

vs

Derby

11.7752.8%
X3.7425.0%
24.2222.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WDDLWWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Derby
DLWWWLLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Against
6.00
10.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.60goals per match
Derby conceded1.40
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.00
10.70
Match total
8.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
21.00
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.50
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches478
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.8%58.4%+5.5 pp
Draw25.0%25.3%+0.3 pp
Away22.2%16.3%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.80–0.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.4%
1-112.6%
1-010.9%
2-010.7%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.10–4.00
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=478.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches128
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.7%39.2%–56.3% CI
Draw FT39.1%31.0%–47.7% CI
Away FT13.3%8.5%–20.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals19.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away38.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamSouthamptonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareSouthampton vs DerbyCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionChampionshipLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsChampionship team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.